A mediation question needs a timeline
Write down exposure, mediator and outcome at each wave before fitting anything.
- Topic
- Causal inference
- Analysis
- Jul 2026
- Status
- Working note
- Related
- CFPS research
For longitudinal data, write down the exposure, mediator and outcome at each wave before fitting a model. Prior outcomes and exposure-affected covariates can change which direct or indirect effects are identifiable.
I keep intervention-regime estimands separate from within-person associations. Both can be informative, but they answer different questions.